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IPTV subscriber base set for explosive growth, says iSuppli

Press release, August 3; Esther Lam, DigiTimes.com [Friday 4 August 2006]   

The worldwide subscriber base for Internet Protocol Television (IPTV) services is expected to expand by a factor of more than 26 from 2005 to 2010, spurring a competitive battle between video providers both old and new, research firm iSuppli predicts.

Global IPTV subscribers will grow to slightly more than 63 million in 2010, rising at a stunning compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 92.1% from 2.4 million in 2005, noted the firm.

The IPTV subscriber base will generate more than US$27 billion in overall IPTV services revenue in 2010. While video services will account for the largest portion of these dollars, value-added media services and IPTV operator advertising will combine to represent more than 14% of IPTV services revenue in 2010. Furthermore, across all IPTV services, the corresponding content licensing revenue will reach US$11 billion in 2010.

IPTV subscriber base forecast

Source: iSuppli, compiled by DigiTimes.com, August 2006

"The fight to capture the expanding base of IPTV subscribers will put telecom operators on a collision course with existing pay-TV market competitors and with a new class of broadband video portals as they roll-out progressively more sophisticated offerings," said Mark Kirstein, vice president of multimedia content and services for iSuppli.

iSuppli categorizes market deployment of IPTV services in three phases. The current global IPTV market is early in its first phase: basic service deployment. The second phase will add an array of value-added and interactive services. Phase three will bring dramatic improvements in integration and interactivity.

Thus, in this pending battle for subscribers, providing a competitive video offering is merely the cost of entry for IPTV operators. Differentiation of IPTV services will be essential to bringing new capabilities to TV-based entertainment and attracting subscribers. Areas of differentiation will include:

Interactivity, such as communication, community, voting, interactive advertising and television commerce (t-commerce); integration across multiple platforms, across voice and data services and across content types, i.e. video, voice, music, gaming, data services and user content; personalization, including intelligent TV recommendations, individualized advertising and non-linear video programming, such as video-on-demand (VoD) and digital video recording (DVR); and value-added services, including on-demand gaming, music, media applications, home networking management, security and data.

Beyond the video service providers themselves, an array of companies will benefit from new opportunities arising from their roles as the "arms suppliers" for the battle over the next generation of television distribution. These companies include infrastructure gear manufacturers, set-top box (STB) makers, software vendors and semiconductor suppliers, iSuppli predicts.

On a geographic basis, the European market has taken the early lead in the global IPTV market, both for subscribers and for revenue. However, Asia will generate faster growth than the other regions and will achieve the largest subscriber base by the end of this year. The Americas region will lead the world in terms of IPTV dollars starting this year because it will yield the highest average revenue per user (ARPU).

 
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