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Qimonda holds on to 2nd place in 3Q global DRAM market, says iSuppli [Wednesday 15 November 2006]

Qimonda achieved the strongest growth among the top-five DRAM suppliers in the third quarter of 2006, allowing it to hold onto its second place ranking, according to preliminary estimates by research firm iSuppli.

The German memory maker, which was recently carved out from Infineon Technologies, increased its DRAM revenue by 29% in the third quarter compared to the second. Its sales rose to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.21 billion in the second quarter.

Qimonda expanded its market share to 16.9%, up from 16.2% in the second quarter, according to iSuppli.

"Qimonda's DRAM bit shipments rose by an impressive 17% sequentially in the third quarter, beating iSuppli's forecast of 10%," said Nam Hyung Kim, director and principal analyst, memory ICs/storage systems for iSuppli. "The company also managed to increase its DRAM average selling price (ASP) by 10% sequentially due to its dramatic rise in shipments of higher-priced graphics DRAM."

Qimonda's growth exceeded the industry average of 23%, which represented a surprisingly strong expansion for the DRAM market. The company's growth was also the highest among the top-five suppliers of DRAM during the period.

DRAM sales in the third quarter beat iSuppli's estimate, rising 44% from the same quarter in 2005.

Sales strength was broad based, with four out of five of the top suppliers increasing their sales by more than 20% compared to the second quarter.

Industry leader Samsung Electronics increased its bit shipments by 21% and remained in the top spot among DRAM makers. Samsung said it aims to boost its market share in 2007. During its recent earnings call, Samsung announced that it would increase its DRAM bit growth by a stunning 90% in 2007, with its goal of reaching 35% to 40% global market share for the year.

The market share of number four ranked Micron Technology decreased again in the third quarter. The company's market share gap with number five Elpida Memory is now a mere 0.4 percentage points. iSuppli predicts that Elpida will surpass Micron in the fourth quarter, assuming that Elpida's bit growth increases at a similar rate during the period.

Elpida in the third quarter expanded its sales by a remarkable 105% compared to the third quarter of 2005.

Preliminary ranking of the world's top-10 DRAM suppliers, 3Q 2006

Rank

Company

3Q06 revenue

3Q06 market share

2Q06 revenue

Sequential revenue growth

1

Samsung

2,550.0

27.8%

2,130.0

20%

2

Qimonda

1,551.0

16.9%

1,206.0

29%

3

Hynix

1,445.0

15.8%

1,174.0

23%

4

Micron

976.0

10.6%

854.0

14%

5

Elpida

939.0

10.2%

764.0

23%

6

Nanya

601.0

6.6%

534.0

13%

7

PSC

444.0

4.8%

342.0

30%

8

ProMOS

413.0

4.5%

260.0

59%

9

Etron

73.0

0.0%

53.0

38%

10

Winbond

52.0

0.6%

36.0

44%

Others

121.0

1.3%

109.0

11%

Total

9,165.0

100.0%

7,462.0

23%

Source: iSuppli, November 2006
Compiled by DigiTimes.com, November 2006

While Qimonda and the other top players performed well in the third quarter, the second-tier Taiwanese DRAM players posted the best performance among all suppliers.

Powerchip Semiconductor Corporation (PSC) and ProMOS Technologies led the way among the Taiwanese suppliers, increasing their DRAM sales by 30% and 59%, respectively. Their total DRAM sales growth rates were even higher. However, both companies' foundry business negatively impacted their overall growth this quarter, and since iSuppli excludes foundry volume from its market share analysis, this was not recorded.

As commodity PC DRAM prices increased significantly during the third quarter, Taiwanese suppliers outperformed their tier-one rivals in terms of growth and profitability. This was due mainly to high pricing in the spot market, which is where the majority of the DRAM business is for Taiwan suppliers.

The improving DRAM memory market has prompted iSuppli to revise its forecast. iSuppli's 2006 DRAM sales forecast now calls for US$33 billion in revenue. This compares to iSuppli's previous estimate of US$31 billion.

However, in line with iSuppli's downgrade of the near-term DRAM market conditions from "positive" to "neutral" in early October, sequential revenue growth in the fourth quarter is expected to be 5%, much lower than the third quarter's 23%.


 
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